The BJP-led National Democratic Alliance, which Nitish Kumar’s JD-U is a part of, is set to win 31-34 seats in Bihar, News18 Mega Exit Poll predicted on Saturday.
As per the News18 Mega Exit Poll, the Bharatiya Janata Party may get 13-16 seats while ally JD(U) may held take the NDA tally to 31-34, while the Congress-RJD’s INDIA bloc may get just 6-9 seats.
Polling in Bihar was held in seven phases on April 19, April 26, May 7, May 13, May 20, May 25 and June 1. The bye-election for Agiaon (Bhojpur) Assembly constituency was also held on June 1.
In the first phase on April 19, the Lok Sabha constituencies that voted in Bihar were Aurangabad, Gaya, Nawada, whereas elections were held in Kishanganj, Katihar, Purnia, Bhagalpur, and Banka in the second phase on April 26.
In the third phase on May 7, Jhanjharpur, Supaul, Araria, Madhepura and Khagaria went to polls, and on May 13, elections were conducted in Darbhanga, Ujiarpur, Samastipur, Begusarai and Munger seats.
While the Sitamarhi, Madhubani, Muzaffarpur, Saran and Hajipur seats went to polls in the fifth phase on May 20, Valmiki Nagar, Paschim Champaran, Purvi Champaran, Sheohar, Vaishali, Gopalganj, Siwan and Maharajganj voted on May 25 (sixth phase).
Nalanda, Patna Sahib, Pataliputra, Arrah, Buxar, Sasaram, Karakat and Jahanabad voted in the seventh and final phase on June 1.
BIHAR ELECTION CAMPAIGN RECAP
Bihar witnessed intense campaigning by political heavyweights spanning over two months for 40 Lok Sabha seats with more than 7.6 crore voters.
Star campaigners, including Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Union Home Minister Amit Shah, Congress leader Rahul Gandhi, BJP president J P Nadda, Chief Minister Nitish Kumar and RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav canvassed for their party nominees in the politically crucial state.
In the last general elections, 39 out of 40 seats in Bihar were bagged by the NDA and the PM seemed determined to ensure another great performance by the coalition, with altogether 15 rallies in the state, where polls were staggered across all seven phases, besides a roadshow in the capital city.
Amit Shah, too, chipped in, with rallies in Karakat and the reserved seat of Sasaram, another constituency which the BJP seeks to retain.
Former Congress chief Rahul Gandhi, who was last seen in the state for a rally at Bhagalpur more than a month ago, flew down to address three back-to-back election meetings in Patna Sahib, which his party is contesting, and in Patliputra and Arrah, for allies RJD and CPI(ML)L, respectively. Mallikarjun Kharge, the Congress president, campaigned in Patna Sahib and Sasaram, which is also being contested by the party.
RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav, who claimed to have set a record of sorts by addressing more than 250 rallies in the multiple phase elections, carried out his campaign seated in a wheelchair with a belt wrapped around his injured back.
EXIT POLL METHODOLOGY
The News18 Poll Hub survey covered all 518 seats in 21 major states, which account for 95% of Lok Sabha constituencies in the country. In each Lok Sabha constituency, 180 interviews were conducted using a structured questionnaire, which was translated into 11 regional languages. For phases one to six, the interviews were conducted the ‘day after’, as it is known to yield more reliable responses, and the traditional exit poll – asking people coming out of the polling booth – was carried out for Phase 7.
A total sample size of 93,240 across 21 states was planned, but over 95,000 was achieved. In each Lok Sabha constituency, three Vidhan Sabha constituencies were covered, with 10 polling booths in each selected through random sampling. Around each polling station, trained investigators conducted 15 door-to-door interviews – one eligible respondent with inked finger per household. In case of the exit poll, near each polling station, 15 interviews were conducted of people coming out after casting their votes, with every fifth person stopped for interview.
On-spot checks by senior field manager and executives, geo-tagging of interviews and telephonic back-checks for 20% of the sample in each state were among the many steps taken to maintain quality.
Check detailed seat predictions based on Exit Poll Results 2024 LIVE . Get minute-by-minute updates on the exit polls from Andhra Pradesh.
Comments
0 comment